World Cup: research indicates that the final could be the same as 2022; look

The Department of Mathematics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG) pointed to the final between Argentina and France as the most likely of the World Cup. With a 1.16% chance, the study positions the two teams as the main favorites for the title after the first round of the group stage.

In the direct confrontation, the balance is remarkable: 50.6% chances for the Europeans and 49.4% for the South Americans. If confirmed, it would be the second consecutive final between the two teams, repeating the historic duel from 2022.

In 2022, Argentina and France played out an exciting decision, with Argentina winning on penalties after a 3-3 draw in normal time. It would be only the second time in history that a final has been repeated in consecutive World Cups, as occurred with Germany and Argentina in 1986 and 1990.

Understand UFMG's calculations
To arrive at these probabilities, the UFMG Mathematics Department carried out an impressive 4 million simulations. The criteria consider the results of the teams in the last two years, the possibilities of seeding in the tournament and the chances of a result in each match.

Brazil, in turn, appears in just one of the 20 most likely finals. The Brazilian team's greatest chance of reaching the decision, according to UFMG, would be in a clash with arch-rival Argentina.

It is essential to emphasize that the probabilities are dynamic. The calculations are updated with each new game result and match score, reflecting the teams' performance throughout the World Cup.

This text was generated by artificial intelligence based on content produced by Itatiaia. All information is investigated and checked by journalists. The final text is also reviewed by the CNN journalism team

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Source: CNN