War assessment is better in Israel than in the US, says expert

Israel pursues its own agenda in the conflict with Iran, distinct from the interests of the United States, according to an analysis by Harvard researcher Vitelio Brustolin.

In an interview with WW this Thursday (11), Brustolin highlighted that Israeli military actions reflect, above all, the will of Netanyahu, who faces internal political and legal pressure.

Netanyahu and electoral interests
Brustolin stated that "Israel is doing Netanyahu's specific will, which is not necessarily Israel's interest." According to the expert, Israel has elections scheduled for October 27th, which could be brought forward to September, after parliamentary approval.

Netanyahu, who faces four charges of corruption and must answer for failing to prevent the attacks of October 7, 2023, is also the subject of an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court.

"He cannot leave power because he will end up being arrested", highlighted Brustolin, drawing a parallel with the case of Golda Meir, judged for failing to prevent the Yom Kippur attacks.

Divergence between Israel and the United States
Brustolin pointed out a clear lack of convergence of interests between the two countries. Within Israel, the war against Iran is evaluated significantly more positively than in the United States, where only 27% of the population supports the conflict.

A survey released on Wednesday (10) revealed that 81% of Americans are against the way Trump has conducted the war. This scenario creates an unfavorable environment for the prolongation of the conflict.

Stalemate in Lebanon
The expert also highlighted the impasse involving southern Lebanon. Netanyahu claims he will not withdraw Israeli troops from the region until Hezbollah disarms.

However, Hezbollah refuses to lay down its arms, even under pressure from the Lebanese government itself. Brustolin also mentioned a statement by Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, who last Friday stated that Iran must stop supplying weapons to Hezbollah, as "no one else inside Lebanon can handle this war."

Hezbollah also fails to comply with UN resolution 1701 of 2006, which prohibits the presence of weapons and troops below the Litane River, located 24 kilometers north of the Israeli border. "There is no way out of this impasse at the moment", concluded Brustolin.

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Source: CNN