Tarifaço: Flávio has more to lose than Lula in the election, says expert
The possible return of the tariff announced by the President of the United States, Donald Trump, generated significant electoral repercussions in Brazil, according to expert analysis. For Rafael Favetti, partner at Fatto Intelligence Politics, the current scenario benefits the campaign of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and puts the campaign of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) in a disadvantageous position.
Lula emerges strengthened, Flávio on the defensive
Favetti highlighted that, compared to the first tariff, the geopolitical context has become more complex for Brazil. "Things for Brazil, as a government, are not so easy, despite the channels being created, there is a slightly different fear", he stated.
Still, he assessed that, from an electoral point of view, the fact represents a "full plate" for Lula's campaign.
As for Flávio's campaign, the expert recognized that the tariff brought momentary relief by shifting the focus from the case involving former banker Daniel Vorcaro. "For Flávio's campaign, in a way, it was a relief not to talk about Vorcaro," said Favetti.
However, the expert highlighted that the issue of Pix - described as "the national darling" - further complicated the senator's situation.
"Flávio has much more to lose, even with this relief for the Vorcaro issue, than Lula, thinking about the electoral campaign", he concluded.
Trump's praise for Flávio worsens the scenario
CNN Politics analyst Caio Junqueira reinforced the analysis by pointing out that the day ended "very favorably for the government" after a sequence of unfavorable events for Flávio Bolsonaro's (PL-RJ) campaign.
According to him, in addition to the tariff, Trump released a photo praising the congressman, which put the senator's campaign in an even more delicate position. "Trump gives the tariff, returns the tariff, then comes and praises Flávio", he observed.
Caio also highlighted that, given the scenario, the campaign of Jair Bolsonaro's son (PL) needed to publish a letter and publicly defend itself. "From what I saw from network monitoring, he lost the game today," he said.
The analyst considered, however, that Flávio's defense was more organized than when the Vorcaro audio leak occurred, and that the strategy now includes approaching Trumpism to try to reverse the situation.
"It wasn't a complete defeat like it was in the case of Vorcaro, but at the end of the day today the government won", he concluded, highlighting that the assessment refers to the immediate scenario, without projections for the coming months.
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Source: CNN