Netanyahu is the biggest beneficiary of the end of the ceasefire, says professor
The breakdown of the ceasefire between the United States and Iran, marked by bilateral attacks on Wednesday (08), has an unexpected beneficiary according to expert analysis: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. For Fernando Brancoli, professor of International Relations at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) to WW, the escalation of tensions between the two powers directly favors Netanyahu's political situation within Israel.
Internal economic and political crisis in Israel
Israel is going through a moment of serious internal difficulty. Recently released economic data point to a drop in indices linked to GDP, a direct reflection of the ongoing conflicts.
The country still faces a labor shortage in industry and factories, as a significant part of the population has been transferred to the Armed Forces. "There is an economic crisis that is also combined with a political crisis", stated Brancoli.
In the political field, Israel is experiencing an internal dispute over who could replace Netanyahu.
The professor highlighted that Netanyahu "clings to the permanence and maintenance of the conflict as a tool to prevent himself from being replaced" and, above all, to ensure that investigations are not opened related to accusations of corruption and his alleged incapacity in the face of the Hamas attacks in October.
"If anyone is celebrating at this moment, it is certainly Netanyahu, as he appropriates this state of exception to ensure that he will not suffer political consequences internally within Israel", declared Brancoli.
External pressures and the North American context
The professor also drew attention to the role of regional allies such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which have reinforced the profound impacts of the war on their economies. According to Brancoli, the situation resembles "a tug of war", in which different allies try to influence the United States in different directions.
On the American domestic front, Brancoli recalled that there are elections scheduled for the end of the year in the United States - the so-called mid-term elections - and that Donald Trump is showing concern about the increase in inflation and food prices.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, in this context, would further worsen this scenario. For the professor, it is essential to simultaneously observe the internal and external dimensions of the United States, Israel, the Iranian context, the Gulf allies and even Lebanon, which adds another layer of complexity to this scenario already full of variables.
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Source: CNN