Jaques Wagner equals the Master scandal electorally, says Eurasia
The involvement of Jaques Wagner in the 9th phase of the Compliance Zero operation, which investigates Banco Master, should have an electoral impact that equalizes right and left on the issue of corruption. This is the assessment of Christopher Garman, executive director of Eurasia Group, to WW.
For Garman, in the short term, the impact on the image of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) tends to be less damaging than on the image of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ).
The expert considers, however, that the general scenario points to a "leveling at the bottom" between the political fields.
Ammunition for both sides in the election campaign
According to Garman, each political camp should exploit the scandal to their advantage.
"The opposition camp, be it Flávio Bolsonaro or other candidates, will pick up all the allegations against the government leader and Jaques Wagner and try to associate Banco Master with the government", he stated.
Conversely, "the PT side will use all the complaints that were put on the table and the audios to associate Banco Master with Flávio Bolsonaro's candidacy."
The result of this clash, in the expert's assessment, is that mutual attacks during the campaign will lead voters to an unfavorable conclusion for everyone involved.
"My bet is that, at the end of the day, when you have the campaign and all the mutual attacks will be made with advertising pieces, the voter will conclude that both are corrupt", said Garman.
Corruption is a concern, but does not guarantee an electoral advantage
Garman highlighted that corruption continues to be an issue of great relevance to the Brazilian electorate.
"When you do a national survey, the two big electoral concerns are security and corruption," he noted.
Despite this, the expert assesses that the issue should not generate a net advantage for either side, precisely because voters tend to get lost in the details of the allegations in the midst of an intense investigative cycle.
Regarding the specific impact of the leaked audio involving Daniel Vorcaro and Flávio Bolsonaro, Garman believes that the effects should dissipate over time.
"We have several new headlines in a deep investigative cycle, so the specific impact of the audio leak also has to dissipate over time," he concluded.
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Source: CNN