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"Casa do Patrão": who is the favorite to win the reality show, according to the numbers

Por Equipe Editorial CifraNET · 02/07/2026
"Casa do Patrão": who is the favorite to win the reality show, according to the numbers
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The grand final of the reality show "Casa do Patrão" is scheduled to take place in exactly two weeks. The last program of the season, which will reveal the final amount that the winner will take home, will be the last bet by Boninho, 64, to boost the project.

After around 81 days of confinement, the winner of the dispute can obtain an amount that should reach R$2 million. The amount will be different depending on which participant comes first, as the number is stipulated based on the amount with which each participant entered the competition and the decisions throughout the program that resulted in bonuses or discounts.

With the decision that will define the finalists approaching this week, Bianca, Jackson, JP, Luiza, Mari, Matheus, Sheila and Vivão are the last eight competitors. Below, CNN Brasil gathered data based on its own research platforms and polls, which indicate which member remains the competition's favorite.

Using the number of victories in CNN polls as the first parameter, Sheilla led the victories by winning two measurements in nine votes for "Ta Na Reta". The military police officer won two, ahead of Bianca, Matheus, JP, Jackson and Luiza by one more point. It is worth mentioning that all eight finalists were at some point in the spotlight of the program.

Ranking of followers of "Casa do Patrão"
Having the highest number of followers before the program, around 72.9 thousand, Sheilla maintained her leadership and, among the last eight participants, achieved the position of most followed on Instagram, with 110 thousand. The Top 3 is also made up of Bianca Becker, with 39.4 thousand total, and Matheus Pantaneiro, with 19.5 thousand. (Check out the full ranking below).

- Sheilla Barbosa - 110K - Before: 72.9K;
- Bianca Becker - 39.4K - Before: 18.7K;
- Matheus Pantaneiro - 19.5K - Before: 1.9K;
- Juca Palhares (JP) - 21.4K - Before: 5.7K;
- Jackson Fonseca - 17.6K - Before: 3.1K;
- Mariana Bernardino - 16.8K - Before: 2.5K;
- Luiza Parlote - 14.1K - Before: 3.8K;
- Alexandre (Vivão) - 21.3K - Before: 15.2K.

Most searched "Casa do Patrão" participant
According to data from the Google Trends platform, which counts the number of searches made by term in the browser in a given period, collected by CNN, Sheilla was also the most searched member in Google browsers.

The analysis takes into account data from the last month, a period in which the program was most popular on social media. The Bahian, represented by the dark blue color, is followed by Vivão (pink) and Jackson Fonseca (orange).

In the graph below, Bianca is represented by red, Matheus in yellow, JP by green, Mariana in purple and, finally, Luiza in light blue.

Participants of "Casa do Patrão" most searched for in Google browsers, according to the Google Trends search platform - Google Trends
The grand finale of "Casa do Patrão" will be shown on Record's official schedule from 10:30 pm (Brasília time) on Thursday, July 16th.

*Under the supervision of Gabriela Maraccini

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Source: CNN

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