Analysis: US reaches mid-term elections "on penalties"
CNN Brasil correspondent in the USA, Mariana Janjácomo, assessed, during the Fora da Ordem videocast, that the United States arrives at the midterm elections in a situation of great uncertainty.
Using an analogy with the World Cup, she stated that the country reaches the election "on penalties", with Republicans and Democrats extremely distressed by the possible results.
Difficulties for the Republicans
According to Janjácomo, a result broadly favorable to the Republicans is far from guaranteed.
"A goal for the Republicans at this moment is difficult," said the correspondent, explaining that the population is very dissatisfied with the Trump administration, mainly due to the rise in prices.
She highlighted that inflation recorded in the United States reached 4.2% in May, in annual terms, a level that the country had not reached since the Biden administration.
"People are feeling this in their pockets, they are dissatisfied and normally, when people are dissatisfied with the situation, with the government, they go to the opposition", he analyzed.
Janjácomo also drew attention to an internal movement within the Republican Party. According to her, Republican congressmen have opposed President Donald Trump's measures, which shows concern about the possibility of losing seats in Congress.
The correspondent, however, made a reservation: this movement is led mainly by parliamentarians whose terms of office are ending and who will not seek re-election.
"They don't have much to lose", he pointed out. Still, she considered the move significant. The war with Iran was cited as one of the factors contributing to rising prices and government strain.
Democrats also face weaknesses
On the Democratic side, the situation is not simple either. Janjácomo highlighted that the Democratic Party is very fragmented and faces difficulties in organizing itself around strong names.
"A penalty for the Democrats could happen, but the party is also having difficulty organizing itself now," he said.
For the correspondent, although dissatisfaction with the government favors the opposition, the party's internal weaknesses limit this potential.
"We arrive at these mid-term elections with penalties, on both sides there, desperate and distressed, and both sides with a lot of concern and with a lot to lose", he declared.
She highlighted that, if Trump loses control of Congress, he will face two very difficult years in terms of governance.
For Democrats, on the other hand, two more years with Republicans in charge of the Legislature would further weaken a party that is already in a delicate situation.
The texts generated by artificial intelligence on CNN Brasil are made based on video cuts from the newspapers in its programming. All information is investigated and checked by journalists. The final text is also reviewed by the CNN journalism team. Click here to find out more.
Source: CNN