Analysis: New polls will reveal whether the US and Trump move elections

This week, research on presidential succession will be released that will incorporate the most recent events: the designation of the PCC (Primeiro Comando da Capital) and Comando Vermelho as terrorist organizations and the possible additional tariffs announced by the United States.

There will be revealing research into how these episodes are moving, or not, the 2026 race.

AtlasIntel research has already shown broad popular support for the designation of the PCC and Red Command as terrorist organizations - a measure that Lula (PT) and the government criticized.

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) will continue to occupy this space, exploring the contrast with the federal government.

On the other hand, the recommendation from the USTR (Office of the United States Trade Representative) to apply tariffs to Brazil and the criticism of Pix give Lula a tested and effective narrative: that of national sovereignty.

Pix is unanimous and Lula will try to stick with Flávio the image that the Bolsonaro clan works in favor of tariffs and, ultimately, against Pix.

Analysis: Lula uses US pressure to win in the campaign | WW

* Lucas de Aragão is a partner at Arko Advice. This text was transcribed in first-person video analysis for WW

Source: CNN