Dollar opens lower, with an eye on tensions in the Middle East and economic data

Understand what makes the price of the dollar rise or fall
The dollar opened this Tuesday's session with a fall, and fell 0.38% around 9 am, quoted at R$ 5.1603, as investors continue to pay attention to the developments of the truce between Israel and Iran. Negotiations on the Ibovespa, the main index on the Brazilian stock exchange, only start at 10 am.
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▶ Oil is falling this morning, following the easing of tensions in the Middle East. After an exchange of attacks between Israel and Iran over the weekend, the two countries called a truce the day before, following an appeal from American President Donald Trump. The Israeli government, however, stated that it must continue attacking Lebanon.
Against this scenario, oil was falling this Tuesday. Around 8:30 am, a barrel of Brent, an international reference, fell 1.99%, quoted at US$ 92.37. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), from the United States, had losses of 2.38%, quoted at US$ 89.13 per barrel.
▶ Investors also continue to wait for the next Central Bank interest rate meeting. With the meeting scheduled for next week, the financial market's projection is that the BC will interrupt the cycle of cuts and keep the basic rate (Selic) unchanged at 14.50% per year.
The projection follows the rise in inflation estimates and the opening in interest curves - that is, the expectation of higher interest rates in the future. The new IPCA data, the country's official inflation, which should be released on Friday of this week, is also on the radar.
See below for more details on the day in the market.
Dollar

a
Accumulated for the week: +0.45%;
Accumulated for the month: +2.72%;
Accumulated for the year: -5.63%.
Ibovespa

Accumulated for the week: -0.32%;
Accumulated for the month: -3.06%;
Accumulated for the year: +4.56%.
Escalating tensions in the Middle East
The war in the Middle East plunged into a new phase, after Iran and Israel exchanged mutual attacks for the first time since the April ceasefire. (follow the main events)
The offensive began last Sunday, after Iran launched a series of missiles towards Israel last Sunday, in retaliation for an Israeli attack on the capital of Lebanon. As a result, Israel carried out new bombings of "military targets" in Iran - explosions were heard in Tehran, Tabriz and Isfahan, according to the Al Jazeera TV network.
This was also the second time in less than 24 hours that Israel defied Donald Trump and carried out attacks on countries in the region.
"The Israeli Air Force attacked military targets belonging to the Iranian terrorist regime in western and central Iran recently," the Israeli forces said on their social media.
Trump tried to establish a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, which operates in Lebanon, during the week. Israel violated the agreement, however, by bombing Beirut.
Trump used his profile on Truth Social to show his dissatisfaction with the return of clashes between the two countries, but stated that Iran and Israel "are seeking" a ceasefire agreement after the new attacks.
Global markets
In Asia, shares closed this Tuesday's session mixed. The CSI300 rose 1.87%, while in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng fell 0.37%.
In Japan, the Nikkei rose 2.17%, while the Kospi, from South Korea, registered an appreciation of 8.18%.
Dollar
Photo by Karolina Kaboompics

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