Expert: Israel dragged the US into an "unwanted war"

Israel's strategic project for the Middle East would have drawn the United States into a conflict that was not in the North American interest, according to the assessment of Military Sciences professor at Eceme (Army Command and General Staff College) Sandro Teixeira Moita, in an interview with WW.

For the expert, although the practical objectives of the two countries were aligned at the beginning of the conflict, Israeli ambitions ended up exceeding American expectations.

"Israel dragged the United States into its expedition to Sicily", referring to the clash that led to Athens' defeat in the Peloponnesian War. For Moita, the Israeli project was clear, but it depended on American military power to be executed, as Israel's strength alone would not be enough to impose its will on Iran.

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Trump between agreements and pressures
Sandro Moita highlighted that US President Donald Trump differs from other American leaders by seeing strategic victories in agreements, regardless of the regimes with whom he negotiates. As examples, the expert cited the negotiation of the withdrawal from Afghanistan with the Taliban, in 2020, and the negotiations with the Venezuelan government.

According to the Eceme Military Science professor, Trump uses force as a type of intimidation over his opponents, almost as a media strategy, and is subject to political cycles that other leaders would not face in the same way.

The expert pointed out that the permanent conflict in the Middle East directly affects Trump's domestic agenda.

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With the World Cup approaching - an event that Trump wants to promote as a great American showcase, even though it will be held in three countries - and less than a month before the 4th of July, the date that marks the 250th anniversary of the independence of the United States, the war represents a significant political obstacle. "The ongoing conflict in the Middle East affects your agenda," said Sandro.

Tehran realizes American vulnerability
According to Moita, the Iranian regime identified this weakness and began to explore negotiations to the limit. "Tehran smelled blood in the water, just like the shark, and that's why it has pushed negotiations to the limit," said the expert, describing the Iranian style of negotiation as "characteristic of the country's bazaars."

He also recalled that former United States Secretary of State John Kerry had already observed that the Iranians "fight even for the details of an agreement", which would make the process exhausting for Trump.

Faced with this scenario, the professor warned of the risk of short-term American military action - between 36 and 72 hours - shortly before or in the first days of the World Cup, as a way of putting pressure on Iran.

However, the expert concluded that, at the current moment, the initiative for actions in the Middle East is not in the hands of Israel or the United States: "Whoever has the initiative for actions in the Middle East is neither Israel nor the United States. It is the regime in Tehran."

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Source: CNN