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Understand what makes the price of the dollar rise or fall
The dollar opened this Monday's session with a drop of 0.13%, quoted at R$5.1501 at 9 am, as investors continue to pay attention to the war in the Middle East. Negotiations on Ibovespa, the main index on the Brazilian stock exchange, begin at 10 am.
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▶ The escalation of tensions in the Middle East is on investors' radar this Monday, after Israel and Iran exchanged direct attacks for the first time since the ceasefire in April. The sequence began with an Israeli offensive on Beirut at the weekend. Tehran responded with missiles and generated new retaliations.
Amid tensions, oil prices on the international market are rising. Around 8:50 am, a barrel of Brent, an international reference, rose 1.79%, quoted at US$ 94.76. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), from the United States, rose 1.82%, quoted at US$ 92.19 per barrel.
▶ On the indicator agenda, the highlights of the week are the new inflation data from Brazil and the United States. The European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision is also on the radar.
This Monday, the BC's Focus Bulletin registered a new increase in inflation estimates by the financial market in 2026, in the 13th consecutive week of increase. Analysts also began to project a smaller interest rate cut this year.
See below more details of the day in the market.
Dollar
a
Accumulated for the week: +2.26%;
Accumulated for the month: +2.26%;
Accumulated for the year: -6.05%.
Ibovespa
Accumulated for the week: -2.74%;
Accumulated for the month: -2.74%;
Accumulated for the year: +4.90%.
Escalating tensions in the Middle East
The war in the Middle East plunged into a new phase, after Iran and Israel exchanged mutual attacks for the first time since the April ceasefire. (follow the main events)
The offensive began last Sunday, after Iran launched a series of missiles towards Israel last Sunday, in retaliation for an Israeli attack on the capital of Lebanon. As a result, Israel carried out new bombings of "military targets" in Iran - explosions were heard in Tehran, Tabriz and Isfahan, according to the Al Jazeera TV network.
This was also the second time in less than 24 hours that Israel defied Donald Trump and carried out attacks on countries in the region.
"The Israeli Air Force attacked military targets belonging to the Iranian terrorist regime in western and central Iran recently," the Israeli forces said on their social media.
Trump tried to establish a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, which operates in Lebanon, during the week. Israel violated the agreement, however, by bombing Beirut.
Trump used his profile on Truth Social to show his dissatisfaction with the return of clashes between the two countries, but stated that Iran and Israel "are seeking" a ceasefire agreement after the new attacks.
Global markets
With new tensions in the Middle East and amid expectations for new inflation data expected this week, Wall Street futures were operating at a high.
Close to 9 am, the Dow Jones future index had risen 0.28%, while the S&P 500 index had advanced 0.69% and the Nasdaq had gained 1.28%.
In Europe, the indexes operated without single direction. Among the region's main indices, the German DAX fell 0.32%, while the French CAC-40 fell 0.04% and the British FTSE 100 gained 0.27%.
In Asia, shares in China and Hong Kong closed at their lowest levels in two months on Monday, following a global decline in the technology sector.
The CSI300 index fell 2.4%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.7% and the Hang Seng lost 1.2%.
In Japan, the Nikkei lost 3.85%, while the Kospi, from South Korea, registered a devaluation of 8.29%.
Dollar notes.
Ruvic data/ Reuters
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