Negotiations between the US and Iran advance, but face new impasses

Negotiations between the United States and Iran are progressing, but still face significant obstacles. While American President Donald Trump stated that the talks are "progressing well" towards an agreement, analysts and the dynamics of the negotiations point to a scenario full of divergences and uncertainties.

According to CNN White House reporter Kevin Liptek, although a memorandum of understanding appeared imminent over the weekend, the two parties remain locked in issues of drafting the final text.

The presence of an Iranian delegation in Qatar raised hopes that mediators could help unblock the negotiations, but the expectation, at least on the American side, is that the process will last a few days.

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Disagreements over the nuclear program and sanctions
One of the main points of impasse is the Iranian nuclear program. The US says Iran has agreed in principle to give up its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. The Iranians deny that the topic has been discussed in detail.

In addition, Tehran demands more specifics about which sanctions Washington is willing to lift and which assets it intends to unfreeze. In response, American officials make it clear that any financial relief will only occur after concrete progress on nuclear issues, summarizing the position with the phrase: "no dust, no dollars" - a reference to the stockpile of enriched uranium.

CNN's senior international analyst, Américo Martins, highlighted that, according to information coming from the USA, an agreement between the two countries has never been so close. He mentioned that the American Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, on a trip to India, stated that he believed that the issue was simply one of adjusting the language in the text, although he warned that the process could take a few more days.

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American attacks against Iranian military installations near the Strait of Hormuz were justified by the US as defensive actions, carried out after identifying Iranian movements that would pose a risk to its vessels and soldiers in the region.

Khamenei and the new order in the Middle East
Iran's supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, who has yet to appear publicly or record videos since hostilities began, released a written statement saying that a new order was emerging in the Middle East as American influence in the region waned, and that other countries "would no longer serve as shields for American bases."

UFF (Federal Fluminense University) professor and Harvard researcher Vitelio Brustolin added that the US and Israeli attacks did not achieve the objective of limiting Iranian power. Iran, according to him, continues to project power by controlling the flow of around 20% of the world's oil through the Strait of Hormuz.

CNN International analyst Lourival Sant'Anna noted that none of the war's main stated objectives have been achieved: Iran's conventional missile arsenal has not been dismantled, destroyed stockpiles are being replenished, and Iran's relations with its regional allies, such as Hezbollah and the Houthis, remain intact.

According to the analyst, Iran finds itself in a position of pressure on the global economy, which puts Trump in a dilemma: give in to Iranian conditions to end the conflict or maintain military pressure.

Every time Trump announces the imminence of an agreement, Iran publicly contradicts him, making the American position even more difficult. Trump also spent the day trying to avoid comparisons between the possible understanding and the nuclear agreement signed during the Barack Obama administration, which he himself criticized and abandoned.

Abraham Accords and the regional role
In parallel, Trump has been pressuring Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar, to join the Abraham Accords - normalization agreements between Arab nations and Israel.

However, Saudi Arabia has made it clear that it does not intend to sign any such agreement without there being an irreversible path to the creation of a Palestinian state, a condition that, at the moment, does not appear to be being met.

Vitelio Brustolin highlighted that Trump's demand is considered unfeasible, especially after the destruction in the Gaza Strip, making it politically impossible for Muslim countries in the region to normalize relations with Israel at this time.

The texts generated by artificial intelligence on CNN Brasil are made based on video cuts from the newspapers in its programming. All information is investigated and checked by journalists. The final text is also reviewed by the CNN journalism team. Click here to find out more.

Source: CNN