Analysis: Pragmatism between NATO and the US is based on mutual benefit

NATO Foreign Ministers met in the city of Helsingborg, Sweden, seeking to clarify the implications of American President Donald Trump's support for Poland. The decision comes after the announcement of the withdrawal of 5,000 American soldiers from Germany. CNN International analyst Fernanda Magnotta commented on the matter to CNN 360°.

For Magnotta, the pragmatism that guides the relationship between NATO and the United States is based on mutual benefits - both in terms of material resources and military capacity.

"It doesn't seem to me that, in fact, the United States can do without the strategic collaboration that takes place via NATO," said Magnotta, adding that it would be difficult to imagine that it would really be in the Americans' interest to abandon the alliance.

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Ambiguity as a bargaining strategy
The analyst highlighted that the policy of ambiguity in relation to NATO is not new and is part of attempts to improve Trump's negotiating conditions vis-à-vis the Europeans.

"Despite what President Trump says, the material resources that revolve around this multi-decade collaboration seem to me to subsist on a certain pragmatism," said Magnotta.

The analyst also highlighted that Trump has always defended American supremacy and the maintenance of peace through military force.

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Three layers of analysis
Magnotta proposed three layers of analysis for the decision to send troops to Poland. The first concerns the maintenance of military power with global reach: "It is not in the interest of foreign policy to abandon a presence in Europe, especially in Eastern Europe", he stated.

The second layer involves caution towards Russia, especially given the failure of attempts to end the conflict in Ukraine.

The third layer, considered by Magnotta as the most relevant, is political in nature.

According to her, the 5,000 soldiers do not necessarily represent an extra reinforcement, but rather a redirection of capabilities - specifically, from Germany to Poland.

"Poland is governed by an alliance of figures very close to the more conservative right and who, to some extent, have come very close to Trumpism in recent years", explained the analyst.

In this sense, the message would be clear: countries aligned with Washington will receive preferential treatment, while those that oppose the Trump administration will face consequences.

Impact on European societies
The debate also addressed the reach of Trump's message beyond European rulers.

Magnotta did not rule out the possibility that Trump is, indirectly, trying to target the very societies of these countries, aware of the Russian threat.

She cited the case of Germany, where the population shows great sensitivity to the issue: "If you walk around Germany, the feeling you get is that they are preparing for a major war", she reported, mentioning public guidelines for storing food and locating bunkers.

The analyst added that Trump recently lost an important ally in the region - Hungary - after elections, which would have reduced the American capacity for political penetration in Europe.

"Poland is a bet in this direction, trying to frame the Europeans and making it clear that the United States is willing to establish a priority hierarchy, even among allies", concluded Magnotta.

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Source: CNN