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Flávio Bolsonaro's (PL) pre-campaign team wants to prevent American President Donald Trump from applying new trade tariffs to Brazil for fear that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) will be able to politically exploit the measure and increase his advantage in electoral polls.
The assessment of those around Flávio is that, if the United States eventually resumes tariffs against Brazil, Lula will return to surfing the narrative in defense of national sovereignty - with the possibility of then opening up distance from Flávio once and for all in the polls.
Flávio has received analyzes and briefings on the subject, especially given the expectation that he will meet with Trump at the White House early next week.
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Therefore, supporting - or at least easing - the tariff was a blunder on the right throughout 2025.
The imposition of American tariffs on Brazil was closely linked, especially to the image of former federal deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL), Flávio's brother, who has lived in the United States since the beginning of last year because he called himself a victim of political persecution.
Toque agora.
The issue has been monitored by Flávio's allies in the United States and treated with caution. In fact, the progress of the USTR (United States Trade Representative) investigation into alleged unfair practices by Brazil is also on the radar.
The American investigation covers a series of sensitive topics. Among them are the tariffs applied to American ethanol imported by Brazil, the Pix payment system - which, according to the US Department of Commerce, competes directly with North American payment methods such as Visa and Mastercard - and issues related to image rights, patents and intellectual property.
Now, one of Flávio's bets to get back on his feet is precisely the eventual meeting with Donald Trump at the White House. The idea is to show that, despite the successful meeting between Lula and Trump at the beginning of the month, and the crisis in the pre-campaign due to Master, the relationship with the American right has not been shaken.
Flávio's people say that the invitation to the agenda with Trump came from the White House, articulated by the Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, and with the participation of Eduardo Bolsonaro.
Flávio has preached pragmatism in foreign relations and has been guided by career diplomats, among others. Officially, the visit has not yet been confirmed by the Americans.
Datafolha: After audio, Lula opens up advantage over Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2nd round | CNN 360º
Source: CNN
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