It is clear that there is fatigue with Lulism and Bolsonarism, says Eurasia Group

In an interview with WW, Christopher Garman, executive director of Eurasia Group, states that the crisis surrounding the Master case exposes Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign and makes voters believe that "the majority of politicians are corrupt".

"It is clear that the electorate is tired of both Lulism and Bolsonarism," said Garman.

Given this scenario, the expert highlighted that Eurasia Group's analyzes point to the existence of real space for a right-wing candidate other than Flávio Bolsonaro to reach the second round.

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Garman considered that, despite the damage caused by the scandal, there is still a long way to go. "We are more than five months away from the election. It is not a scandal that arrived in Flávio's campaign three, four weeks before the dispute", said the expert.

The executive director emphasizes that the candidacy, in theory, still has time to recover.

Investigative cycle should generate new developments
Garman assessed that the case should fuel a long cycle of headlines and revelations. According to him, there is expectation of a possible plea bargain involving Daniel Vorcaro, a former banker linked to Banco Master.

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If this does not happen, the hypothesis raised is that the minister of the STF (Supreme Federal Court) André Mendonça concluded that the information offered would not be sufficient.

The expert also mentioned confidence in the Federal Police's investigative line to gather new evidence. "We have already hired new developments, new actors", he said.

In Garman's assessment, the most likely outcome of this cycle is that voters reach the conclusion that "the majority of politicians are corrupt."

He predicts that both the government and opposition camps will be the target of accusations, creating what he called a "sea of mud".

"The opposition camp and Flávio Bolsonaro will accuse the government side, and it is clear that what was exposed last week will be used against Flávio Bolsonaro in his campaign", he analyzed.

"This background is highlighted with this investigative cycle", stated the executive director. For him, this line of investigation by Banco Master reinforces and makes this possibility more visible, even though it is difficult to make precise predictions at this time.

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Source: CNN